On 6th February 2020 the Army organised a conference on military thinking, the theme of which was : “ To face high-intensity, what tactical commander for tomorrow ? ” This conference was preceded by a seminar aimed at introducing young people and students interested in defense issues to the operational realities of military life. 

 

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20200107 NP CDEC visuel art usThere is no definitive answer to the question of what a tactical leader should look like in the face of high intensity conflict. We must first define “high intensity”, which in my opinion is characterised by a phenomenon of physical, logistical and cognitive saturation, in both the tangible and intangible fields. Among commanding officers, “high intensity” evokes the battles we prepared for in the 1970s and 1980s, while for younger generations the point of reference remains external operations such as Barkhane. Both perspectives, however, are based on the unique nature of military action. 

We must also have a fairly broad understanding of the concept of tactics, which can be applied at any level from the platoon to the division, or even up to the corps as a whole, although it will look different at each of these levels. The platoon leader’s fight is not the same as the fight experienced by a brigade or corps commander. What they have in common is uncertainty. Neither the section leader approaching an attack nor the operational leader knows whether they will have air superiority, weapons superiority or superiority in terms of influence. 

Reflecting on the concept of high intensity is essential, given the state of the world, as discussed at the various round tables. The aim is therefore to be ready, to have soldiers and especially leaders who are up to facing the challenges of the future. What is at stake is the effectiveness of military action, the lives of the soldiers who will be involved in our future conflicts, and the safety of our country, its interests and, above all, our citizens.

 

The debates will revolve around 2 round tables:

Round table n°1

Is high-intensity warfare a sole high-technology warfare?

Hyper technology is undoubtedly at the heart of high-intensity warfare with swifter decision-making process and destruction being even more efficient, precise and controlled. After the asymmetrical conflicts of the last decades, the on-going technological levelling is the forerunner of symmetrical warfare and considerable human and material attrition. In this context, can the battlefield become chaotic in the very first contacts? Can the commander still see through it all?

Round table n°2

Rupture or continuity, can the commander of today be the commander of tomorrow?

With or without cutting-edge technology, the military commander of tomorrow remains a leader at the heart of the high-intensity warfare. Resilient and battlehardened, he must keep his clairvoyance and be the beacon of light for his soldiers. Will the commander be ready for tomorrow’s challenges? Do we need an “augmented commander” or to increase the ability for operating in downgraded environment?

Thursday 4 february 2021, the Center for Doctrine and Command Teaching (CDEC) will organize a military thinking conference at 2pm in the Amphitheater Foch, Ecole Militaire.

In a world with ever-changing threats and a looming, hardly predictable specter of war, the Army intends to reflect on the notion of unpredictability. 

Unpredictability is widely considered a negative “unavoidable issue” but we want to see it as a collective ambition. Our goal is to take away unpredictability from the enemy’s hand and harness it in any level of operations, even highintensity. The technological environment is constantly evolving and it is rendering the battlefield more assessable. The ground forces are willing to clear the “fog of war” obscuring their action while fueling the one obscuring the enemy. 

Regarding the ground forces maneuver, the unpredictability of our forces should be considered as a gain of initiative in the tangible, untangible and reality perception fields. 

It enhances the tactical commander’s freedom of action and conversely hinders the enemy’s freedom of action with a maelstrom of dilemma. 

2 questions come forth: 

- How to defend against the unpredictability of different threats and risks? 

- How to set in motion unpredictability in the face of an adversary?

 

Download
See the teaser
Download the program
The poster

 

20210113 colloque imprevisibilite art us
The debates will revolve around 2 round tables:

Round table n°1

Unpredictability in the Army from 2035 onwards

The first roundtable will define the concept of unpredictability (conditions, features, and principles), the consequences and the ways to implement with concrete facts (historical examples).  As it creates freedom of action, the speakers will debate on its contribution to tactical success. Then, they will debate about whether it is a new operational superiority factor or an additional principle of war.

Round table n°2

How to set in motion unpredictability within the future ground maneuver?

The second roundtable will detail unpredictability’s underlying tangible and intangible effects (surprise, confusion, deception, intoxication…), the means to protect from unpredictability and to “challenge” the adversary’s decision-making process. The speakers will debate about the means to train and educate commanders regarding unpredictability. Moreover, they will also discuss the possibility to integrate allies and partners within this framework.

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